Premier League 2026/27 top four odds: Aston Villa set the benchmark after 2025/26 finish
Verified Premier League 2026/27 top four odds details are yet to be confirmed, and no confirmed Premier League 2026/27 fixture schedule is available in the match data. For now, the best early guide is the verified 2025/26 table, because 4th place is the Champions League benchmark implied by the keyword.
Aston Villa finished 4th on 65 points with a +7 goal difference, according to Goal.com English Qatar. That makes Villa the line every other contender has to chase until confirmed 2026/27 prices appear.
2025/26 final table: clubs closest to the top four
The clubs below are the ones closest to 4th place in the verified final table. Aston Villa and Liverpool figures come from Goal.com English Qatar; Bournemouth, Sunderland, Brighton and Brentford come from Goal.com South Africa; Tottenham comes from Goal.com Ghana.
| Position | Team | Played | Wins | Draws | Losses | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | +7 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | +3 | 53 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 |
Villa’s 65 points are the starting point for any early top-four read. Liverpool were the nearest confirmed challenger on 60, and they actually posted a better goal difference than Villa, with +10 compared with +7.
Bournemouth’s 57-point finish is more nuanced. They were sixth, but 18 draws in 38 matches explain why they stayed in the conversation without closing the five-point gap to Liverpool or the eight-point gap to Villa.
Sunderland’s 54 points put them in the wider chase, but the -6 goal difference makes that total look less convincing than Liverpool’s or Villa’s. Brighton and Brentford were level on 53 points, with Brighton ahead on goal difference at +6 to Brentford’s +3.
Top-four race gap from 4th place
With no confirmed prices or opening-week fixtures to test market movement, the final 2025/26 table is the only verified way to frame the early top-four picture.
| Team | Final Position | Points | Goal Difference | Gap to 4th on Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 4 | 65 | +7 | 0 |
| Liverpool | 5 | 60 | +10 | 5 |
| Bournemouth | 6 | 57 | +4 | 8 |
| Sunderland | 7 | 54 | -6 | 11 |
| Brighton | 8 | 53 | +6 | 12 |
| Brentford | 9 | 53 | +3 | 12 |
| Tottenham | 17 | 41 | -9 | 24 |
The gap table makes the early ranking clear. Liverpool are the closest confirmed challenger, five points behind Villa, while Bournemouth are next at eight back.
Sunderland sit 11 points off the pace, and Brighton and Brentford are 12 behind. Tottenham’s 41 points leave them 24 points adrift of Villa, which places them in a very different conversation from the clubs near the Champions League line.
Early read on the top-four picture
The verified numbers point to a simple hierarchy. Villa hold the line at 65, Liverpool are the nearest challenger, and Bournemouth are the next club with a realistic points base from the final table.
That is why any early premier league 2026-27 top four odds talk has to start here, not with prices that have not been confirmed. Until the market opens and a fixture list is available, Villa’s 4th-place finish is the benchmark, Liverpool are five points back, Bournemouth are eight back, and everyone else is starting from further away.